But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. Based on the data from the CDC . And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. Is that an African fly or a European one? Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. Which one's bigger? It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. A lovely day to you. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. Whoa. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Step 1. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. But let's think about this some more. Step 3. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Think of yourself as dead. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Now things start getting interesting. We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. Step 4. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. You can consider using our babies name resource to choose baby at 12 weeks old that suits your needs! on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. 7 distinct works Similar authors. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. If you assume the current population is 1% of the history of humanity, the total number of combinations increases to 1.1 x 10^39. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Tip #3 of 20: You are already a goddess, so feel free to act like one. I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. That's 150,000 generations. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. This button displays the currently selected search type. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. Thats a pretty good trip. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Step 2. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. You get the volume of planet Earth. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. But lets make it longer. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? You may think You say that to everyone!. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. On one try. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). msk zilina slovan bratislava; battle of the brothers winner Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. Want to Read. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred So to the second question: how accurate is this number? But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. But on all probability it would. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. alex mendez political party; land for sale bundaberg repossessed houses; how does macbeth and banquo's relationship change; skyking richard russell An unimaginably long time. The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! Thats going to take a LONG time. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Are You a Miracle? Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? I would call that a personal relationship with God. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Were all winners in life without doing anything! Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. Part of HuffPost Wellness. Step 3. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Me neither. Probability is a pure odd. Part of HuffPost Wellness. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. Even if they couldn't read them yet. So far, so good. This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. dr ali binazir odds of being born. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Wowser. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. Why? The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice.
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