The main table includes primarily those polls which ask the same question as the 2014 referendum: "Should Scotland be an Independent Country?". Scottish Independence Poll Methodology: The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. Similarly, the above analysis has been conducted based on the existing United Kingdom constituency boundaries. Gender Recognition Act, Tags: Gender Recognition Act, Gender Recognition Reform, Panelbase, poll, survey. Support for Welsh independence has fallen back to its lowest level in three years, a St David's Day poll for Wales carried out by pollsters YouGov has shown. A report released in 2017, entitled From Indyref1 to Indyref2? Nicola Sturgeon expected to resign as Scottish First Minister today But why? In the early part of the 2010s, with a Conservative coalition government in Westminster, and with the SNP focused on holding an indepdence referendum in Scotland, support for Scottish independence grew further. At the end of the 1970s, support for Scottish independence was polling at little more than 10%. If you can afford to contribute a small donation to the site it will help us to continue our work in the best interests of the public. It found 72% of voters - including 69% of those who voted Tory in 2019 -. Last updated Feb 28, 2023 View all Articles (514) Voting Intention: Con 23%, Labour 46% politics 1 day ago Trackers Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. Sorry, no headlines or news topics were found. Company number: SC669393. With plans for the establishment of a Scottish parliament in Holyrood by the Blair government in the late 1990s, support for Scottish independence rose once again. Trump. Former prime minister Boris Johnson, net zero secretary Grant Shapps, and transport secretary Mark Harper, are amongst some of the leading political figures who would lose their seats to Labour. More Scots are seeing the reality of SNP rule. You can unsubscribe whenever you want. Please click 'Create Account and Subscribe' to create a new account and subscribe to our email alerts. To donate or subscribe to The London Economic, click here. Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Champion Newspapers Limited 20:21 22-Feb-23. About; Social . We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Voting Intention. YouGov said that among those who voted Conservative in 2019 but now say they plan to vote Labour, Sunak's net favourability score, the percentage who have a 'favourable' opinion minus the . In terms of specific adjustments then made to this analysis, Politics.co.uk has assumed that the Green MP Caroline Lucas would continue to hold her safe seat in Brighton Pavilion, and that Sir Lindsay Hoyle would be returned as Speaker for his constituency of Chorley. Yes at 46 per cent when Nicola Sturgeon quit with Labour support rising, poll finds. The latest YouGov panel has shown a shift against independence in several areas. The SNP is on 30 per cent, the Tories on 15 per cent and the Lib Dems on 11, with others on 3 per cent. Former Sun boss and arch right-winger Kelvin MacKenzie also seemed to reach the same conclusion. However amidst mounting pressure on Boris Johnsons position in late June, and the drawn out nature of his resignation in early July, the Labour party once extended their lead over the Conservatives in the polls. The Boundary Commission is currently in the midst of a review designed to better equalise constituency sizes. Nicola Sturgeon Expected To Resign As Scottish First Minister Today But Why? Britain Elects. /Which party are you most inclined to support? The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunak's party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low. Charities & not-for-profit. Easy-to-digest video clips. Humza Yousaf takes the lead as SNP members swing behind Nicola Sturgeon's man, The 'worst health secretary in the history of devolution' is just ahead of his rivals in the SNP leadership contest, although a third of Nat members still don't know who to vote for, Ian Blackford 'looking forward' to end of police probe into SNP's 'murky' finances as he dodges Peter Murrell question. Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here. The exclusive poll, by Savanta ComRes for The Scotsman, has support for Yes at its lowest level since just before the 2019 general election, which saw Boris Johnson's Conservative party earn an . Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here.. Please ensure your password has at least 8 characters, an uppercase and a lowercase letter, and a number or symbol. The YouGov Cost of Living Segmentation YouGov 12:02 7-Feb-23. This analysis has drawn on the latest opinion polls that were specific to Wales and Scotland respectively. Slovakia's Smer back on top of opinion polls ahead of snap election bne IntelliNews 10:02 27-Feb-23. When Johnson announced his resignation on July 7, 2022, YouGov polling showed Labour on 40% and the Tories on 29% an 11 point lead. The poll was conducted for The Sunday Times over the past week as a review for the Scottish Prison Service found that the process of admitting transgender people to prisons should be improved in the wake of the Isla Bryson case. The poll for the Sun found. According to YouGov's latest poll of Welsh voters, the Tories are set to be left with just two MPs in the country after the next general election. However as the Scottish parliament became fully operational in Edinburgh, support for independence initially waned, trending around 30% in the first decade of the twentieth century. Pollsters showed that Liberal Democrat voting intention during most of this Parliament has been constant at around the 9% mark with only temporary uplifts above this point. Politics.co.uks current Westminster projections are also drawn through an aggregate extrapolation of the data on election polls. Most polling companies listed here are members of the . That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. With Labour improving its polling position in Scotand, the party would now gain 12 seats off the SNP in Scotland, albeit the SNP would mitigate those losses slightly by gaining three seats from the Conservatives and one from the Lib Dems. Subscribe to our email alert of the day's top stories from the UK and around the world. Voting intention in the United Kingdom 2017-2023. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Scottish independence, tracking changes over time. ", Question asked: "Would you vote SNP at the next General Election if a victory for them could lead to Scotland leaving the UK? In 1997, the Yes side surpassed 40% in the polls for the first time. Latest YouGov poll suggests many voters in Scotland have dismissed warnings about the economic impacts of a yes vote YouGov's opinion poll for the Sunday Times suggests the yes. Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. Click to get a sign-in link sent to your email. coincided with the discussions about trans gender rights in the Scottish Parliament, and with the UK government subsequently invoking Section 35 of the Scotland Act for the first time in relation to the Gender Recognition Reform Bill. The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunaks party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low. A majority of Scots back same-sex marriage, according to the most detailed survey of public opinion since MSPs began moves to change the law. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. The latest YouGov/Times vote intention poll shows the Labour party on 54% of the vote, up nine points on their previous record high with YouGov on Monday. British Social Attitudes Survey 39, reported in The Times, 22 Sep 2022Full results I Chapter on Culture WarsMain findings: YouGov, May 2022Full report I DataMain findings: Equalities, Human Rights and Civil Justice Committee, Scottish Parliament, reported 23 May 2022, Wings Over Scotland, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 02 May 2022: Voting for people who hate you. on public opinion. The tide may be turning on Nicola Sturgeon and the Nats as a YouGov poll suggests the party could lose 23 seats while another UK survey suggests a collapse to just TEN MPs at the next General Election. Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . Inside Labour's battle to retake Scotland as party warned not to 'count chickens too soon', Public mental health is the true measure of political success. Yougov (February 20) which placed the Yes side on 46.2% and the No side on 53.8%, post adjusting for undecided voters. Under any election held on this basis, the Liberal Democrats would also be on course to gain 22 seats from the Conservatives. The Tories would be on seven MPs up one despite all the turmoil of the past 12 months with the Lib Dems also up one on five, according to the seat predictor from Electoral Calculus. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. Boris Johnson may have misled Parliament over Partygate, investigating MPs have claimed, Matt Hancocks reaction to his affair with Gina Coladangelo has been revealed in leaked WhatsApp messages, Numerous Russian attacks in eastern Donetsk have been repelled in the past day, Ukraines military has said, The White House has confirmed that Joe Biden had a cancerous skin lesion removed last month, At least 17 people have died in a fire at a fuel depot in Indonesia, Saving Private Ryan actor Tom Sizemore has died aged 61 after a brain aneurysm, Labour were just two points behind the SNP in Scotland before Nicola Sturgeon's shock, Support for Scottish independence at 46% before Nicola Sturgeon resigned poll. You can also SUBSCRIBE TO OUR NEWSLETTER . NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. Indeed between October 2020 and January 2021, the two major parties were running neck and neck. conducted. Combining deep sector expertise with local knowledge to provide you with a deep understanding of your industry. Can the public identify the Deputy Leader of the Labour Party? A YouGov poll for the Times, reported today, found that nearly 50% of voters in Scotland who plan to vote Tory are doing so primarily to prevent a pro-independence majority in Holyrood. Given that the parliamentary results in Wales and Scotland are influenced by the existence of a fourth major party (Plaid and the SNP), Politics.co.uk has undertaken separate analysis for swings in Welsh and Scottish constituencies. Labour has surged to its largest poll lead over the Conservatives in more than two decades, with voters turning against Kwasi Kwarteng's tax-cutting budget. 23% 22 Feb: PeoplePolling: GB News UK What next for Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour left? The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held . Kemi Badenoch, who has proved popular . @BritainElects. Scotlands political landscape after Nicola Sturgeon? YouGov: 24 Apr 2020 - 27 Apr 2020: 1,095: 25: 15: 6 : 2: 51; Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland: 01 May 2020 - 05 May 2020: 1,086: 26: 17: 5 : 2: 50; Panelbase/Scot Goes Pop: The Conservative party regained a minor amount of ground in the first 3 weeks of the Rishi Sunak premiership, but Mr Sunaks honeymoon period has been short lived, and those advances stalled soon after Jeremy Hunts financial statement. But we can't do it without you. * Prediction from Electoral Calculus using the figures from the latest YouGov opinion poll. excludes 16 and 17 year-olds and did not ascertain likelihood to vote. CalMac warns of further disruption to ferry service due to lack of backup ferries, The ferry operator is facing frequent issues as it has to constantly repair the aging fleet which is blighted with problems due to the lack of back ups, Scottish lags misuse 4.1million taxpayer-funded mobile phones more than 7,000 times in three years, More than 4,082 inmates have been caught out for using mobile phones paid for by the taxpayers to commit crimes while in prison, Iconic Glasgow bakery Mortons Rolls 'ceases all trading' after 58 years. The survey puts Yes and No roughly neck-and-neck, which has been a consistent trend in polling for over a year. In the latter part of 2020, the Conservatives lead in the polls diminished significantly. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. It remains to be seen how support for independence will pan out now Rishi Sunak has become prime minister, King Charles III has succeeded Elizabeth II, and as Nicola Sturgeon steps down as first minister. However, it follows two other polls published in the last 48-hours that have put Labour well ahead of the Tories. However, coinciding with the roll out of the coronavirus vaccine and the conclusion of Boris Johnsons Brexit deal at the end of 2020, the Conservative party once again opened up a significant election poll lead over Labour. Labour would be nipping at their heels with 22 Scottish MPs, up from just one currently. You can unsubscribe whenever you want. The company, based in Drumchapel, has reportedly ceased all trading with its annual results currently overdue by more than two months. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. All Rights Reserved. The YouGov polling for The Times also suggests widespread public dissatisfaction with the government's economic plan. and given the options of "Yes" and "No". Id 100% bang this poll pic.twitter.com/zW5y7LzwXS. Automotive. Although we'd had a YouGov earlier in February, that was for the Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop) and YouGov have since clarified the questions were slightly different and thus not comparable. In Wales, Plaid Cymru is currently on course to lose one seat to Labour. The result of an IndyRef today 2 March 2023. Please try different keywords. YouGov surveyed 1,043 Tory members and found that 60% said they'd vote for Truss, compared to 26% who opted for Sunak, the former chancellor whose resignation helped precipitate Johnson's . The pollster found Labour on 50 per cent of the vote an increase of three points from their last poll. Exclusive: Scottish Labour blasted the Scottish Government for their inaction in trying to get rid of dangerous Grenfell-styling cladding on buildings across the country. Savanta (23 February) which placed Labour on 45%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrats on 9%. In doing so the Lib Dems would defeat both the deputy prime minister, Dominic Raab, and the Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt. Rather than drop back after IndyRef1, and with the SNP remaining in government in Edinburgh under new first minister Nicola Sturgeon, support for Scottish independence continued to rise. Rather than experience a new prime ministerial bounce, in September 2022, the picture was not positive for Liz Truss. Meanwhile, the latest opinion polls suggest it will be a knife-edge after a recent drop in SNP's approval rating and a small rise in Labour and Conservatives. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Yougov (January 26) which placed the Yes side on 46.5% and the No side on 53.5%, post adjusting for undecided voters. We will not share your email address with any third parties. The above analysis of general election polls has been calculated through linear average equation modelling of the latest UK opinion polls of Westminster voting intention. Get the day's top headlines delivered to your inbox. A band of rain, sleet and snow is expected to move south during Monday followed by frequent snow and hail showers, Ken Bruce leaves BBC with veiled jibe after they ended his show early over concerns was free advertising for a rival, The 72-year-old Glaswegian left Radio to join Greatest Hits Radio in April after the Beeb told him to step down 17 days early, Teaching strikes held off as union on brink of striking pay deal. A YouGov poll earlier this week gave Truss a 19-point advantage over Sunak in a head-to-head. In results published for the survey taken March 24-25, 2022 . Yahoo News / YouGov polls . Keir Starmer has finally found his Clause IV moment. The latest survey from YouGov has put Labour on 46% and the . With the Conservatives polling over 50%, this lead briefly surpassed 20% at the beginning of the Covid pandemic in March and April 2020. Opinion polling for UK general elections; 2010 election; Opinion polls: 2015 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: 2017 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: . At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Analysis pieces written by YouGovs data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. Excluding those who declare themselves to be undecided (currently around 6% of the electorate), polling averages from February 2023 places the Yes side at 47.1% and the No side at 52.9%. This includes a majority of those who agree the people should be freely able to express their transgender identity. That lead then jumped to a staggering 24% in the three weeks after former chancellor Kwarsi Kwartengs mini budget and prior to Liz Truss resignation. Under this unlikely but not impossible scenario, the Electoral Calculus seat predictor says Labour would end up with 37 Scottish MPs, the SNP would have 10, the Tories seven and the Lib Dems five. Under the current polling, Labour is on course to win seats in parts of the country where it has always been a distant spectator, such as both Bournemouth constituencies in Dorset, Macclesfield in Cheshire, Aylesbury in Buckingham, Southend East in Essex, Weston Super Mare, and Bromley and Chiselhurst in south east London. A YouGov poll shows 56% of Scots support the . 4th October 2022| Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Voting Intention. NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. In the case of Wales, Politics.co.uk has drawn on the most recent YouGov poll produced on 27 February. The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40 per cent to 36. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. 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