But for every Newcomb, Folty, Wisler,and Touki that theyve missed on I think theyre happy to trade that off with Fried, Wright, Minter, and to a lesser extent Anderson and Elder. Just cause they run this site doesnt mean they have some secret gift to know where players will sign and I never had a doubt he was headed there, since he was a Pirate. You take risks to lock down his first 2 years of FA. 37 Blake Snell, SP, SD. Strider played collegiate summer baseball for the Falmouth Commodores of the Cape Cod Baseball League in 2018. Missing 1 seasons worth of games over the length of it (this doesnt seem that hard to imagine with pitchers being pitchers) makes this go from ok to bad real quick. Were talking about a position player who finished top 5 MVP both seasons leading into the arb years. No Gavin Lux -- big problem. Wrong bonuses are aside from the yearly contracts and have nothing to do with arbitration contracts either in setting the floor or adding to the annual amount. Doesnt take a genius to see which one is better for the team. Another pitiful troll comment from books. I know its a business, but much like the Cardinals, the Braves seem to focus more than other clubs on the relational side with their players, thereby giving the Braves an edge over other teams during the respective players FA, if the Braves should choose to being said player back. Now that theyre going against the Yankees, Cleveland has prime time. His 182Ks this year feels more Stantonian than it should for a mid-range power hitter like Swanson. Finally, the greater likelihood is that he probably wont be good enough to outplay what he was given because it was a dramatic overpay by a team that believes pitching will see a steep uptick in annual salary and their stupid contract with Strider is a self-fulfilling prophecy that will probably move the needle 10% across baseball due to this stupid deal. I told them but they didnt listen to me. 2/100m? For the same price Id much rather have Swansbys 2023=2028, than Baezs 2022-2027. He hasnt performed at even close to their level. Amateur career [ edit] He doesnt even need to have constant injury problems. Christian Academy of Knoxville (Knoxville, TN). His slap happy approach at the plate seems very much at odds w/the Braves patient, high exit velocity hitting philosophy. And him being top 2 in the ROY balloting has no bearing on his service time because the Braves never tried to manipulate it. Braves dont even have enough to trade for a SS. Julio Rodriguez is still going to get a bonus pool increase in his annual pay for his All-Star game appearance, his HR derby appearance, his ROY award, and any other accolade he gets, regardless of his contract. Who caes about Story and Baez past anyway? For the fans sake, I hope ownership realizes the value of spending some money and they re-sign Swanson. The Braves do it again, getting 2 FA years of a superb pitcher (incl an option year, fcol), and they get those years very close to a SPs peak ages. Jean Segura, MIA. Braves will be WS contenders for the next 5 years at least with this core. Freeman even took Seagers #5 jerseytoo easy. Im sure a non-GM telling someone they dont have what it takes to be a GM, carries a lot of weight! $1M (2023) Braves manager Brian Snitker wasnt ready to say whether Strider might be used as an opener, a reliever or possibly fill both roles during the best-of-five series against the Phillies. He was the top freshman at Clemson in 2018 before joining MLB, but he missed the season in 2019 due to an injury. Says who? They just gave him $53M for his 3 arb years. The Marlins simply smell. Bauer was coming off a season with a 4.19 ERA and had a 4.36 ERA in parts of 6 MLB seasons when he first hit arbitration. October 1, 2021 But I wonder if a team can reach a point that they have too many of these deals and can could reduce their roster flexibility down the road. Preferably, youd also buy out another year or two of free agency at that point, as well. The Braves and Mets both won 101 games. Thanks. Thing is Baez/Story both have been more consistent with their bats (even Baez, lol), while providing defensive value. If he continues to dominate, his arm years wouldve skyrocketed. 2023 Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft: Salary cap (auction) results for Head-to-Head (H2H) points league . The expectation is that I outperform any contract I ever sign.". It allows them to know exactly how much room they have left in the budget. The backend of this deal reminds me of Wil Myers, only in the sense that you have 3 years of $20M+ that start multiple years after the extension was reached. You are making a lot of wild assumptions. These deals also help lower the luxury tax hit down the road. Spencer Strider's net worth $1 million. He made his MLB debut in 2021 and now plays for the Mississippi Braves, Gwinnett Stripers, Augusta GreenJackets, and Rome Braves. As long as the rain holds off on the east coast, we have a nine-game slate in MLB DFS beginning at 4:05 p.m. EDT on DraftKings. I think its even more encouraging within you're organization to know your going to have that nucleus every year.. The Braves have no SS prospects at the upper mil levels. Atlanta Braves pitcher Spencer Strider records a career-high in strikeouts. The only way this deal makes sense is if Burnes and Fried get paid over $75M between their final arb year and their first two years of Free Agency. To an SP, well, it seems awfully risky. If there is a publication that picked the Mets, please send the link. The fact that you dont know how Super 2 works, totally invalidates your opinion. One BB fewer per 9 and hes right around peak Jacob deGrom. But Swanson is not nearly as good as those guys. Striders the first pitcher in MLB history to strike out over 200 hitters (202 Ks) and give up less than 100 hits (86.) Spencer Strider made his Major League Baseball debut in 2020 with the Mississippi Braves, the Gwinnett Stripers, the Augusta GreenJackets, and the Rome Braves. A contract representing mutual respect is a good thing. Team Date Transaction; November 14, 2022: Atlanta Braves activated RHP Spencer Strider. Then, they would have to compete against the Houston Astros, New York Yankees, Cleveland Guardians or Seattle Mariners. While Strider was certainly pleased with the contract, the satisfaction he felt Monday extended to the fact that it appears he will be available to pitch in some role during the NLDS, which begins on Tuesday against the Phillies. " . . The Braves are getting 2 years of FA for $44 million total. Yes, it would be more pricey that way, but its worth it to mitigate the good majority of the risk. This is how a Mets fan copes with his team getting bounced lmao. It's also available for football, basketball and hockey. Thank god, the contract was signed today based on his performance this year. My stupid destined to be wrong estimate is7 years @160 mill. This deal will be the one people talk about for 10-20 years as the contract that forced bidding wars for starting pitchers. $35M (2028 FA year). Spencer Strider only appeared in one game for the Braves last season and was not very well-known around the league. the Commanders released Wentz in a cost-cutting measure that will save Washington $26.17 million against the 2023 salary cap. Phillies are in the WS. The Braves and Swanson have publicly expressed mutual interest in a new contract, but getting something done would likely send the Braves soaring over the $200MM mark in terms of their bottom-line payroll while also pushing them into the general vicinity of the first luxury tax threshold for the first time ever. Please logout and login again. If Baez and Story sign for 140 add in the shift going awaythe market for Dans is at least 140 plus. Who doesnt believe that the Tigers have serious buyers remorse on Baez? Its a league funded thing that every team will chip into $1.66 mil regardless. Fantasy baseball: Which prospects have fantasy value in 2023? If youre going to belittle someone while claiming to have knowledge of their inferior educational level, you should probably try spelling your insults correctly. ~$31M (Arb4). They signed him to a lucrative six-year, $75 million extension on October 10. Strider will qualify for Super Two, so he will get 4 years of arbitration and if next season is close to 2022 then its going to be between the current first year arb record for a starting pitcher of $9.5 million and Bellingers $11.5 million figure. Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. Many observers have compared Strider's pitching style to Houston Astros ace Justin Verlander. Strider is expected to start in Game 1 of the series. The inability to stream in market is a significant issue. He would have gone there if the contract offer was higher. Also, by disabling these cookies you will also disable banner ads served by Google Adsense on this website.. For more information about these items, view our complete privacy policy.Read More. AND he sells a lot of tickets and merchandise. Finally, I know people point to the 10 1/2 game lead the Mets had and call it a collapse. 8. Then add in the two FA years the Braves control at $22 million each, and this deal is great for the Braves. They overpaid him for his arbitration years by $12-15 million but saved like $36 million in those two free agent years. They were wrong, clearly. The problem is they still have the potential to either end up in the bleachers or the nose-bleed sections, or even if they get great seats behind homeplate, they are still losing nearly 30% on the gamble. Since 2020 was a short season lets take the last 4 seasons. The Orioles host the Atlanta Braves at Ed Smith Stadium in Sarasota at 1:05 p.m. on Saturday. Union before player, always. Hard to see that from a FO willing to let Freddie walk and who have Vaughn Grissom, a natural SS, ready to go. If his performance stays this high he will make over $80 million in his pre-arb year and those 4 arb years. Thats $25 mil. 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If that happens, he will have 2 years and 3 days of service time. Strider will make $1 million each of the next two seasons and $4 million in 2025. He sought treatment through medication, but wasn't seeing the improvement he wanted. When Cleveland was playing TB, they had lunchtime games. So yes, the Braves could have waited to see if he will continue to perform at the same level as he did in 2022 and if he does perform they would have paid that price. The Braves said Tuesday they would push back Strider's next start in the hopes of avoiding a trip to the IL. Practically anyone who can browse streaming TV services in the first place can do it. Since Strider got a full year already based on service time it has no bearing here. Does he hit enough to play left field? Jared Shuster, LHP 4. It is for someone that age. Max Fried who was a Super 2 player is going into year 5, third arb season (1 year of control after 2023) is due to make $12.2M in his second to last trip through arbitration an will have earned a grand total of $22.5M through 5 years. Really only has 6 seasons in the ML. Corbin Burnes is entering his 5th full season and 2nd pass through arbitration, which is only projected to pay him $11.3M. Neither had a season as good as Strider to that point in their careers. Spencer Strider was born in Columbus, OH. Use of any marks, trademarks, or logos on this website shall not constitute a sponsorship or endorsement by the trademark holder. Lets go Juan Soto. The Braves pay their 1.66 mil per season regardless for that. Jansen and Duvall are gone after this yr. Morton, Odorizzi, Yates, and Rosario are gone after next yr. Ozuna will be gone after 2024. Thats only one example, but theres so much more risk on the free agent market (especially when looking for TOR arms) than locking up someone that could slot into that. They are paying the suite price and hoping that they save the 10% fee for buying it at the window. These cookies allow us to count visits and traffic sources so we can measure and improve the performance of our site. This seems like something the MLBPA would endorse. Its a general reference for trade values. GM of the year imo. By comparison the Mariners sign Castillo at roughly $22M/year with a $5M option if he needs TJ surgery in the last 3 years with 80% of the contract covering FA years and coming with a similar option year. $22M (2027) https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2955053-mlb-predictions-2022-updated-win-loss-projections-for-every-team, https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/2022-mlb-predictions-expert-picks-for-division-winners-and-world-series-champion-ahead-of-opening-day/, Thanks RunDMC, that is pretty lousy that Amy writer had the Mets ahead of the defending WS champions. The point of early extensions is to create financial flexibility, not to lock yourself into just a few core players. Rct and Cosmos2 are the two Met commenters on the site that most fit this description. Or how that extra service time effects Super Two qualifications. Dont know what thats worth, but its not nothin. From the official MLB site: To qualify for the Super Two designation, players must rank in the top 22 percent, in terms of service time, among those who have amassed between two and three years in the Majors. June 27, 2022 To Spencer Strider, there are two parts of his baseball life: "PTJ" and "ATJ." Pre-Tommy John and After Tommy John. Worst case for Strider is close to what happened with Charlie Morton this year, and guess what? Speak for yourself. If you wait a year or two and he continues to pitch well, then his pricetag doubles. Strider will absolutely get a raise from his last arbitration year, so even a modest raise means the Braves save $20 ++ million in those two seasons alone. Similar thing happened last year when LAD needed to replace Corey Seagers offense by sliding Muncy over and signing Freeman at half the price. I dont really comprehend the LOL. So saying a player pays 30% federal tax. Extra year for winning division. Name a team who hasnt had pitchers whove fallen apart. You cant because thats the nature of pitchingas DTD said above.. Braves obviously feel Striders an outlier in that respect. While he had great numbers, it was in 2/3 of a season and I have to believe those strikeouts fall off with general usage and fatigue, while also becoming more hittable as his velo drops and his breaking balls lose shape. Swansons best year is his contract year, and even then its only a 115 OPS+ (when 100 is league average). First and foremost on the agenda will be negotiations with shortstop Dansby Swanson, wholl be a free agent once the postseason concludes. Spencer Strider is one of the best young pitchers in the Atlanta Braves organization. Trevor Bauers arb years: $6.5M (2018), $13M (2019), $17.5M (2020) Meanwhile Cohen will spend even more and have a $400 mil opening day payroll lol. Played 2019 w/a bad heel. These cookies may be set through our site by our advertising partners. So he still would not have been a Super Two. OR they could extend him now for what amounts to 7/87. Braves fans will be the first ones screaming when all these long term signing dont work out and the team starts getting hamstrung. vs. NYM 1.0 IP, 2 H, 0 SO, 0 BB, 1 ER, Rookie Status: They average the length of the deal. Please login to leave a reply. We already know its you. You can set your browser to block or alert you about these cookies, but some parts of the site will not then work. You are probably not accounting for the adjustments with the new CBA. The lowest the cutoff has been since 2009 is 2.115. If he spent the whole season on the major league roster he is definitely NOT a Super Two. If that happens this is even worse of a deal than it looks like at first blush. Five years from now, a 28-year-old top-of-the-rotation pitcher in free agency will probably be getting $40MM+ per year. Figuring he sets records all along the way: $1M (2023) This is irrelevant, this is such a stupid overpay. Players use that as a bargaining tactic all the time. Spencer Strider's Raw Stuff Is As Good As Any MLB Starting Pitcher. He could easily see $17m, 2om after this down year, then 28m. Doubt theres one single reason that either the Braves or Strider decided this was the best course of action other than it benefits both parties. Plus, he didn't love being so young and already dependent on medication for daily life. Look on baseballtradevalues.com, read their article on justifying Sotos value and how I criticized it before he was traded to the Padres and my calculations were almost dead on value. Now they have him locked in through 2028 with extremely team friendly option in 2029. He had a 5-2 record with a 4.71 ERA, allowing 53 hits, 38 walks, and 89 strikeouts. So by the time hes done, the new 0-3 money will end up going in large part to him, Raleigh, Strider, Harris II, and Rutschman. Extra year for having a mustache. @Pads Fans Interesting point. Not at all. The Clemson product cracked the Braves Opening Day roster in 2022, initially working multi-inning stints out of the bullpen before ascending to the starting staff, where he not only found success but emerged as a bona fide front-of-the-rotation arm. Lame. This is the first season that he has looked really good and stayed healthy. They do not store directly personal information, but are based on uniquely identifying your browser and internet device. The 2029 club option gives the Braves control over what wouldve been Striders second free-agent campaign. Morning after getting knocked out plus Striders dig at them a few months ago about not being as good as their record and stats showed meltdown city. I mean this in total sincerity, if you love this deal, you should never manage a real team, let alone budget your own finances personally. That earned him a six-year extension worth $75 million. I agree, Dorothy. Because Strider spent the whole season in the majors anyway it has no effect on him. Super Twos are players who barely missed the full year. Is your life so empty that you pore over comments in three week old articles in search of targets for your insults? 2023 Payroll Totals 2023 Active Competitive Balance Tax Totals Note: Tax figures based on payroll data only. With Striders salaries now set through the 2028 season, the Braves, incredibly, already have $76MM on the books six years down the line. He has recorded 10 or more strikeouts in a game six times this season, including twice this month -- striking out 16 against the Colorado Rockies on Sept. 1, and 10 in his most recent start Sunday against the Phillies. And it becomes contagious in the clubhouse imo. Plenty that rep for other teams. Why do Braves fans act like he just had the best rookie season ever? If thats true, the Braves would essentially be punting their $20M financial gain on his first FA year and option year. Or write about sports? Super Two means you are arb eligible a year earlier, not that you get an extra year of service time. If they would have waited to sign him for two years, it wouldve made less than a $10M difference in his contracts at most, but it would have given the team an extra $20M to spend before hitting the cap. For those that missed it, Strider will be Super Two BECAUSE he will be top 2 in ROY and that means he gets an extra year of service time in the new CBA. Genuinely curious. Im doing the same at the end of October. What does a 29 year old with 1 year of control have to do with a 23 year old with 5 years of control left? But since they extended him this is obviously all moot. Worry about your own team of aging stars and average players. Story had to move off SS because his arms gone south and cant stay on the field. Makes it more sustainable to retain this core group long term. You are comparing Harveys call up as a full season is disingenuous. Cashman still living off of the Coattails of the late 90s Yankee teams and Derek Jeter. Use Fried as an example who might make roughly $40 mil through arb in total. View a free real draft analysis of a fantasy baseball league featuring 12 teams in a STD format. Tyler Wells gets his first start of the spring against Spencer Strider. The Braves dont seem to pay for peak seasons from post-prime age players, especially not at SS, which is about the easiest position to put a cheap, 2 WAR floor under, given fielding peaks in players early 20s.